Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 12.830673 15.027656 17.427239 20.234799 23.421303 26.917056 31.033540
2025-03-16 8.375866 11.151461 14.515284 18.853940 24.259373 30.726899 39.000622
2025-03-23 6.599041 9.720564 13.821155 19.512877 27.105049 36.768968 49.866417
2025-03-30 5.510316 8.840399 13.518433 20.411206 30.119058 43.087834 61.460670
2025-04-06 4.351416 7.578461 12.409516 19.934247 31.071389 46.609610 69.503558
2025-04-13 3.362315 6.347342 11.100131 18.904338 31.003534 48.572306 75.398172
2025-04-20 3.012736 6.069557 11.181712 19.930905 33.990175 55.037215 88.051254
2025-04-27 2.773694 5.929086 11.445076 21.239607 37.482297 62.451466 102.537797
2025-05-04 2.425909 5.519113 11.181539 21.623896 39.503895 67.733180 114.115887
2025-05-11 2.069671 5.019747 10.679038 21.519026 40.677541 71.727522 123.908692
2025-05-18 1.738153 4.500722 10.057258 21.110911 41.267448 74.781147 132.348170
2025-05-25 1.473244 4.067632 9.531110 20.800603 41.968027 78.017116 141.213482
2025-06-01 1.235967 3.662826 9.035805 20.558970 42.894955 81.908264 151.774386
2025-06-08 0.948461 3.065295 8.043827 19.227443 41.721551 82.183142 156.446065
2025-06-15 0.851736 2.932556 8.044155 19.910956 44.406782 89.379403 173.335201
2025-06-22 0.781103 2.853047 8.151572 20.827574 47.615347 97.707429 192.648959
2025-06-29 0.643745 2.539992 7.647276 20.342772 47.978481 100.858514 202.993792
2025-07-06 0.505063 2.174857 6.940069 19.294826 47.069164 101.548049 208.918505
2025-07-13 0.473960 2.154627 7.123733 20.339484 50.628088 110.920522 231.176183
2025-07-20 0.455278 2.173029 7.414377 21.671038 54.902417 121.908116 256.947041
2025-07-27 0.405557 2.062287 7.326615 22.061997 57.152216 129.059607 275.873776
2025-08-03 0.347497 1.898491 7.055468 21.955309 58.280106 134.041571 290.922503
2025-08-10 0.290160 1.714170 6.685338 21.540105 58.660980 137.522978 303.238022